Bulletin of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv. Astronomy, no. 51, p. 23-24 (2014)
Operational geomagnetic forecast service
O. Semeniv, Ph.D.,
A. Polonska, engineer,
A. Parnowski, Ph.D., Sr. Res. Fell.
State Space Agency of Ukraine
The operational forecasting service for real-time geomagnetic indices Dst and Kp was described. The warning time for the Earth to the intersection of the Dst index is 1-4 hours, for the Kp index – 3 hours. The skillscore parameter, which is defined as a decrease of the relative mean square error with respect to the trivial model, was approximately 40% for Dst and 15% for Kp. The service works on-line freely available through STAFF http://www.staff.oma.be/ browser.
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